Four years ago, the world looked at America in total shock and maybe with a little anger as Americans chose a leader that brought too much damage to both America and the world for a second term. The world was asking: America, what have you done?
Four years later, the world again is looking at America, this time with a sense of awe, and maybe a little jealousy, as America turns a new page in her history. The world is amazed: America, only in America!
America is still the beacon of hope. America is still the light in the darkness.
The world has regained faith in America and the American people.
The night on Nov 2nd, 2008, I could not help calling my old friends in the land where I came from. I said: look, I told you so.
America, I am so proud of you. American people, I am so proud of you. American people are fair, just, and full of grace and compassion. They are not afraid of admitting their own wrong, and they always look forward.
To be honest with you, there is also evil in America. In the last of eight years, you have seen it in full display. But America always overcomes. America always moves forward.
In two days, really two days, Barack Obama will be our President! Mr. President, please remember the people who have voted for you. Please do not break your promises. We want change! Yes, you may have to make some compromises, to win over your political opponents. But never make deal with the devil!
Mr. President, I pray that: may God give you wisdom, judgment, and courage to lead this great nation out of current darkness. Bring back the hope for the whole world.
Sunday, January 18, 2009
Friday, January 16, 2009
State of the economy
In four days, a new President will be sworn in to the White House. The nation is nervous, yet hopeful, about how the economy will do under Obama's hands-on approach. Free market economists worry about too much government intervention, while the Keynesian people press for more stimulus spending. Who is right?
I am in the middle of the two extremes. In the extreme left, the Keynesian people put too much faith in a few elites in the government that the government can make sound economic investments when private sectors are gun-shy. On the other hand, the free market crowd put too much faith in the "invisible hand" of the market and its ability to self adjust, forgetting that free market in short term can be very inefficient and irrational, and takes a long time to self adjust. The current economic situation is a case in point. After several years of easy credit, the financial sector is almost grinding to a standstill. Private investment is almost completely frozen. Consumers all of sudden woke up, stopped their spending binge and have been tightening the belt to suffocation. The negative multiplier effect of declining investment and consumption has led to massive layoffs and production shutdowns. Under this situation, if the government does not step in to provide a backstop, the economy will certainly spiral down to depression, and remain there for a long time, until the markets gradually self adjust. We cannot afford to wait. Normally I do not like Keynesian economics and government intervention. But this is not a normal time. If the government has any use at all, now it is the time for it to step up.
There are three types of government interventions that can affect the economy: monetary, fiscal, and tax. We have tried the monetary. Federal Reserve has printed trillions of fresh dollars, only seeing those dollars being hoarded by the banks without being put to use to stimulate the economy. Reducing taxes, or even tax rebates, may not help either, because the private sector does not want to invest or spend the money they get from tax reduction or rebates. So that leaves only fiscal stimulus in the forms of government spending. I think prudent and targeted government spending at this critical juncture is necessary to create jobs for the laid-off workers, stimulate economic demand, and produce long lasting benefits to the society.
That is why I support a "shock and awe"-type of fiscal stimulus package, to increase investment in much needed infrastructure upgrades around the entire US. Still remember the bridge collapse in Minneapolis? Just a few weeks ago, the River Rd down here in Potomac Maryland became a real river road, because a massive water main break. For so many years, we have under-invested the nation's critical infrastructure because no-one likes to pay higher taxes. We should also increase the investment in projects that produce long lasting benefits to the country, such as increasing funding for scientific research, alternative energy, national broadband networks, and smart electric grids.
Yes, I am nervous, but I am more hopeful. I am carefully watching what Obama is saying. And I like what I have heard so far. I am hopeful.
I am in the middle of the two extremes. In the extreme left, the Keynesian people put too much faith in a few elites in the government that the government can make sound economic investments when private sectors are gun-shy. On the other hand, the free market crowd put too much faith in the "invisible hand" of the market and its ability to self adjust, forgetting that free market in short term can be very inefficient and irrational, and takes a long time to self adjust. The current economic situation is a case in point. After several years of easy credit, the financial sector is almost grinding to a standstill. Private investment is almost completely frozen. Consumers all of sudden woke up, stopped their spending binge and have been tightening the belt to suffocation. The negative multiplier effect of declining investment and consumption has led to massive layoffs and production shutdowns. Under this situation, if the government does not step in to provide a backstop, the economy will certainly spiral down to depression, and remain there for a long time, until the markets gradually self adjust. We cannot afford to wait. Normally I do not like Keynesian economics and government intervention. But this is not a normal time. If the government has any use at all, now it is the time for it to step up.
There are three types of government interventions that can affect the economy: monetary, fiscal, and tax. We have tried the monetary. Federal Reserve has printed trillions of fresh dollars, only seeing those dollars being hoarded by the banks without being put to use to stimulate the economy. Reducing taxes, or even tax rebates, may not help either, because the private sector does not want to invest or spend the money they get from tax reduction or rebates. So that leaves only fiscal stimulus in the forms of government spending. I think prudent and targeted government spending at this critical juncture is necessary to create jobs for the laid-off workers, stimulate economic demand, and produce long lasting benefits to the society.
That is why I support a "shock and awe"-type of fiscal stimulus package, to increase investment in much needed infrastructure upgrades around the entire US. Still remember the bridge collapse in Minneapolis? Just a few weeks ago, the River Rd down here in Potomac Maryland became a real river road, because a massive water main break. For so many years, we have under-invested the nation's critical infrastructure because no-one likes to pay higher taxes. We should also increase the investment in projects that produce long lasting benefits to the country, such as increasing funding for scientific research, alternative energy, national broadband networks, and smart electric grids.
Yes, I am nervous, but I am more hopeful. I am carefully watching what Obama is saying. And I like what I have heard so far. I am hopeful.
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Steve Jobs says: happy new year. see you in six months
Steve Jobs of Apple finally admitted that his illness is more than just a simple hormonal imbalance. He is taking a six-month medical leave of absence, leaving Tim Cook in charge of the day-to-day operation at Apple. I suspect for the past year it was someone other than Steve taking care of the day-to-day operation at Apple, while Steve battling his health problem.
The stock will undoubtedly trade down today. But is it a bad thing that Apple from now on will gradually move out of the shadow of Steve Jobs? There is no doubt Steve Jobs has contributed enormously to the success of Apple. But I don't believe Apple is entirely managed by a few strong personalities (or one strong personality). I think the company has the needed management process (from strategy to operation to marketing, etc.) in place to continue its success in the market.
In the past several months, I have seen some welcome changes taking place at 1 Infinite Loop. For example, for the first time, Apple allows variable pricing for the songs to be sold in iTunes Store. Yesterday, there were reports that Apple has allowed third-party mobile browsers to be installed on iPhone.
I am hopeful that a post-Jobs Apple will be more open and flexible in its way of dealing with developers suppliers media and investors. In that sense, Jobs-less Apple may not entirely be a bad thing.
Disclaimer: I own common shares of Apple.
The stock will undoubtedly trade down today. But is it a bad thing that Apple from now on will gradually move out of the shadow of Steve Jobs? There is no doubt Steve Jobs has contributed enormously to the success of Apple. But I don't believe Apple is entirely managed by a few strong personalities (or one strong personality). I think the company has the needed management process (from strategy to operation to marketing, etc.) in place to continue its success in the market.
In the past several months, I have seen some welcome changes taking place at 1 Infinite Loop. For example, for the first time, Apple allows variable pricing for the songs to be sold in iTunes Store. Yesterday, there were reports that Apple has allowed third-party mobile browsers to be installed on iPhone.
I am hopeful that a post-Jobs Apple will be more open and flexible in its way of dealing with developers suppliers media and investors. In that sense, Jobs-less Apple may not entirely be a bad thing.
Disclaimer: I own common shares of Apple.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Posts
