Thursday, December 04, 2008

Bailout for the Auto industry: good or bad?

Chiefs of the Big Three auto companies came to the Capitol Hill to beg $34B to bail out their companies. This time, they did not come on their private jets. They took Southwest Airline and took a train to the Capitol. But there are still significant doubts among the lawmakers whether the bailout will be sufficient to turn around the failing US auto industry.

First of all, I think the government SHOULD help the auto industry. As to what is the best way to help them, I am not sure. Will writing them a check for $34B help? I don't know. But we cannot let the auto industry fail. It is one of the very few REAL industries that the US still has. If the federal government can spend a tune of $5 trillion (based on some analysts' estimate) to bail out the fraudulent financial industry, how can it not spare a small change of $34B to rescue the REAL economy?

But I do have lots to complain about the US auto industry:
1) Don't blame your failure on the Union
Sure it would be nice to have low labor cost. But why not these companies also reduce their executive compensation? Alan Mulally, the CEO of Ford, made $55M in last two years, while the company lost over $15B during the same period.

2) Big Three's problem is not that their cars are not cheap enough. Their problems is people don't want to buy their cars no matter how cheap they are
So the Big Three's problem is more of a REVENUE side, than a COST side. If they can sell more cars, they would be able to make a profit. But their market shares are dwindling despite the fact that they offer so much enticement for people to buy their cars, such as 0% financing and thousands of dollars of rebate. Lowering cost would not reverse the trend of their market share loss.

How do we deal with the problems at the Big Three? Honestly I have no clue. And I do not think anybody has any clue. Until we can convince American consumers to buy US cars not Japanese cars, no matter how much money we give them it will save them.

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